سوریه و حزب الله و سه خبر مهم!

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خبر مهم و یک خبر تکمیلی!
خبر اول:
برابر «النهار نت» لبنان فرستاده چین «ووُ سیک» که از منطقه دیدن میکند، در بازدید خوداز سوریه به دمشق راجع به خطرناک شدن اوضاع آن بدان هشدار داد. «ووُ» امروز در قاهره خطاب به خبرنگاران تأکید کرد که سرکوب مخالفین «نمیتواند ادامه یابد.»
او تأئید کرد که در بازدید پنجشنبه خود از دمشق به مقامات عالی سوریه اعلام کرده است که وضع بحالت خطر ناکی درآمده است و نمیتواند ادامه یابد.
او گفت که رژیم پرزیدنت بشار اسد « باید به انتظارات بحق مردم پاسخ گفته و بدانها احترام گذارد.».
«ووُ» گفت که چین از پیشنهاد اتحادیه عرب به سوریه برای مذاکره با مخالفین، که او با چند تن آنان در دمشق دیدارداشته است حمایت میکند.
او گفت «سوریه نرمش های معینی در مقابل نمایندگان اتحادیه عرب در رابطه با پیشنهاد آنها نشان داده است». او در پاسخ خبرنگاران که از او پرسیدند اگر مجدداً طرح محکومیت سوریه به شورای امنیت احاله شود آیا چین باز هم آنرا وتو خواهد کرد؟ پاسخ داد که به سوریها گفته است که وضع خطر ناک است.
روزنامه القبص کویت در شماره امروز خود می نویسد که در دیدار هیئت اتحادیه عرب به ریاست وزیر خارجه قطر به بشار اسد گفته شده است که یا بی درنگ دست به اصلاحات جدی میزند و یا اینکه باید منتظر مداخله خارجی باشند. به اسد گفته شده است که نپذیرفتن پیشنهاد اتحایه عرب دایر بر توقف بی درنگ سرکوب اعتراضات، بمعنای بین المللی کردن مسئله است. در پرتو این خبر القبس، میتوان منظور فرستاده چین از حمایت از طرح اتحادیه عرب را نیز بخوبی دریافت.
خبر دوم: پیش خبر اینکه من در هفته قبل خبر دیدار نماینده حزب الله از مسکو را و خبر ملاقات عجولانه سفیر روسیه را که پیام ادامه تعهد مسکو را نسبت به دادگاه ویژه و توصیه پرداخت سهم دولت لبنان را به آن کرده بود را درج کردم.
امروز سایت النهار نت خبر میدهد که مسکو گفته است که اگر کابینه کنونی نخواهد به تعهدش نسبت به دادگاه ویزه عمل کند باید استعفا دهد. طبق همین سایت ملاقات حزبالله که قرار بوده است۲،۵ ساعت بطول انجامد پس ۴۰ دقیقه خاتمه یافته است.
روسیه در دیدار با نمایندگان حزب الله از مسکو بدانها نیز گفته است که کابینه کنونی لبنان که حزب الله و حزب میهنی آزاد (میشل اون) بخشی از ائتلاف آن هستند یا باید به تعهدشان نسبت به پرداخت سهم لبنان به آن دادگاه عمل کنند و یا استعفا دهند تا دولتی دیگر که به این تعهد عمل میکند سر کار بیاید.
موضع گیری چین یعنی؛ آمادگی و تدارک برای مداخله نظامی در سوریه. چین نمیخواهد اشتباهی را که در لیبی مرتکب شد مرتکب شود. اظهارات فرستاده چین معنایی جز این ندارد که آن دولت از بقای رژیم اسد مایوس گشته است.
در خبر دیگری در دیلی استار لبنان آمده بود که بشار اسد از روسیه برای حل مشکل خود تقاضای کمک کرده است . لحن تقاضای اسد در آن خبر و اینکه در آنجا وی تأکید کرده بود که از اول روسها را در جریان جزئیات بحران قرار داده است و حالا از آن دولت انتظار کمک دارد بگونه ایی بود که تردیدی باقی نمی گذارد که بشار اسد روحیه خود را نیز باخته است.
بهر حال استنباط من از این سه خبر مهم اینست که شمارش معکوس نه تنها برای سقوط اسد هم اکنون آغاز گشته است بلکه حزب الله نیز در معرض آتش تعرض عمومی جبهه جهانی ضدِ محور سوریه ـ حزب الله ـ ایران قرار گرفته است.
من درهمان یاداشت قبلی راجع به حمایت روسیه از حزبالله و سوریه نوشتم که برای دولت روسیه حزبالله و سوریه فقط وسیله کسب امتیاز و معامله با غرب هستند و نه بیش. بشار اسد هم مثل قذافی اینرا در دم مرگ درخواهد یافت.
بنا بود تا امروز را به تحلیل انتخابات تونس اختصاص دهم که متأسفانه تراکم اخبار تحولات منطقه اجازه نمیدهد . در روزهای آینده بدان خواهم پرداخت. ولی مختصراًبگویم که راجع به اهمیت این انتخابات، از ۳ ـ ۴ ماه پیش من مرتب نوشته ام . اینروزها اخبار و تحلیل های زیادی راجع به ان در رسانه های دنیا منعکس میشود ولی آنچه من در ذهن خود دارم بررسی قضیه از یک زاویه دیگری است.

China Envoy: Syria Dangerous Situation Cannot Continue
by Naharnet Newsdesk
1 hour ago
China’s Middle East envoy Wu Sike cautioned Syria during a visit to Damascus of the dangers of a government crackdown on dissent that he said “cannot continue,” he told reporters in Cairo on Sunday.
Wu said that he “affirmed to senior officials in Syria of the danger of the situation and that it cannot continue,” during his visit to Damascus on Thursday.
He said President Bashar al-Assad’s regime must “respect and respond to the aspirations and rightful demands of the Syrian people,” according to an Arabic translation of his remarks in Mandarin by an interpreter traveling in his delegation.
Wu said China supported an Arab League proposal for Assad’s regime to hold talks with dissidents, some of whom he met during his visit to Damascus.
“Syria has to show some flexibility in that regard in order to help the Arab League implement its proposal,” he said, when asked whether he believed Assad’s regime should negotiate with overseas-based dissident groups.
China, along with Russia, vetoed a Western-drafted resolution at the U.N. Security Council on October 4 that would have threatened Assad’s regime with targeted sanctions if it continued its campaign against protesters.
Asked whether China would veto further resolutions if the regime continued its crackdown, which the U.N. says has killed more than 3,000 people, Wu said he warned Syrian officials of the dangers of the continuing unrest.
He added that the “international community must respect Syria’s sovereignty” and that China “would continue its efforts internationally and in the Security Council to find a solution.”
Asked whether China would raise the pressure on Assad, he said: “At this time we must concentrate on ending the bloody clashes” through the Arab League’s efforts.
Wu’s remarks came as an Arab League team was due to hold talks with top Syrian officials later on Sunday.
The Arab ministerial delegation led by Qatar aims in the Doha talks to try to reach “serious results and an exit to the Syrian crisis,” a statement said.
In talks in Damascus last week, the Arab ministers warned Assad to stop the bloodshed and start meaningful reforms or face an international intervention, the Kuwaiti daily Al-Qabas reported on Sunday.
Citing well-informed Arab sources, the paper said the delegation told Assad on Wednesday that failure to resolve the crisis within the Arab fold would mean “internationalizing” the unrest.
“This would mean Syria should expect a foreign intervention and a painful international blockade on the economy and other aspects,” the daily said.
The Doha talks come as Syrian activists put mounting pressure on the Arab League to suspend Syria’s membership in the 22-member bloc.
“Assad’s militias have been killing us for eight months. They arrest us and crush us … And you, Arabs, who love rhetoric, what are you doing,” the Syrian Revolution 2011, one of the motors of dissent, said in a post on its Facebook page.
The activists called for protests across Syria on Sunday calling for the League to “freeze the membership” of Syria.
At least two people were killed in fresh violence on Sunday, both by snipers in the flashpoint central province of Homs, a human rights group said.
Gunfire from a security checkpoint in the Deir Balaa neighborhood of Homs city wounded another 10 people, some of them critically, the Syrian Observatory for Human Rights told Agence France Presse.
On Saturday in Homs, 20 Syrian soldiers were killed and 53 wounded in clashes with presumed army deserters, while 10 security agents and a deserter were killed in a bus ambush, the Britain-based watchdog added.
It said at least 12 civilians also died from sniper or machinegun fire in the province.
Funerals were held on Sunday for eight of the security force personnel killed the previous day, state news agency SANA said.

“Moscow Calls for Resignation of Lebanese Cabinet if it Fails to Fund STL
Russia has informed Hizbullah that the March 8 forces should resign from the government and form a new cabinet that remains committed to international resolutions if the Shiite party and its allies rejected to fund the international tribunal, diplomatic sources said.
The sources told An Nahar daily published Sunday that Moscow’s stance was announced during a meeting last week between the Russian deputy foreign minister, Mikhail Bogdanov, and a Hizbullah delegation led by MP Mohammed Raad.
The meeting lasted only 40 minutes and not two and a half hours as media reports in Beirut said, the sources stressed.
“The government that includes both Hizbullah and the Free Patriotic Movement should resign, and let a new cabinet that abides by Lebanon’s commitments be formed,” they quoted Bogdanov as telling the delegation when it stressed that the Shiite party and the FPM reject the funding of the Special Tribunal for Lebanon.
The sources also said that Moscow tasked its ambassador in Beirut, Alexander Zasypkin, to inform Lebanese officials that Lebanon should fulfill its commitments toward the STL that is set to try ex-Premier Rafik Hariri’s suspected assassins.
Zasypkin is relaying to the officials the warning that the U.N. Security Council which has established the tribunal through a resolution would implement sanctions against Lebanon if it fails to fund the STL.
The sources stressed that Russia remains committed to its stance that the court should be allowed to carry out its work under the best circumstances and that the criminals in Hariri’s case and other assassinations should be punished.
to senior officials in Syria of the danger of the situation and that it cannot continue,” during his visit to Damascus on Thursday.
He said President Bashar al-Assad’s regime must “respect and respond to the aspirations and rightful demands of the Syrian people,” according to an Arabic translation of his remarks in Mandarin by an interpreter traveling in his delegation.
Wu said China supported an Arab League proposal for Assad’s regime to hold talks with dissidents, some of whom he met during his visit to Damascus.
“Syria has to show some flexibility in that regard in order to help the Arab League implement its proposal,” he said, when asked whether he believed Assad’s regime should negotiate with overseas-based dissident groups.
China, along with Russia, vetoed a Western-drafted resolution at the U.N. Security Council on October 4 that would have threatened Assad’s regime with targeted sanctions if it continued its campaign against protesters.
Asked whether China would veto further resolutions if the regime continued its crackdown, which the U.N. says has killed more than 3,000 people, Wu said he warned Syrian officials of the dangers of the continuing unrest.
He added that the “international community must respect Syria’s sovereignty” and that China “would continue its efforts internationally and in the Security Council to find a solution.”
Asked whether China would raise the pressure on Assad, he said: “At this time we must concentrate on ending the bloody clashes” through the Arab League’s efforts.
Syria has been shaken since mid-March by an unprecedented protest movement against the regime of President Bashar al-Assad
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Moscow Calls for Resignation of Lebanese Cabinet if it Fails to Fund STL
Russia has informed Hizbullah that the March 8 forces should resign from the government and form a new cabinet that remains committed to international resolutions if the Shiite party and its allies rejected to fund the international tribunal, diplomatic sources said.
The sources told An Nahar daily published Sunday that Moscow’s stance was announced during a meeting last week between the Russian deputy foreign minister, Mikhail Bogdanov, and a Hizbullah delegation led by MP Mohammed Raad.
The meeting lasted only 40 minutes and not two and a half hours as media reports in Beirut said, the sources stressed.
“The government that includes both Hizbullah and the Free Patriotic Movement should resign, and let a new cabinet that abides by Lebanon’s commitments be formed,” they quoted Bogdanov as telling the delegation when it stressed that the Shiite party and the FPM reject the funding of the Special Tribunal for Lebanon.
The sources also said that Moscow tasked its ambassador in Beirut, Alexander Zasypkin, to inform Lebanese officials that Lebanon should fulfill its commitments toward the STL that is set to try ex-Premier Rafik Hariri’s suspected assassins.
Zasypkin is relaying to the officials the warning that the U.N. Security Council which has established the tribunal through a resolution would implement sanctions against Lebanon if it fails to fund the STL.
The sources stressed that Russia remains committed to its stance that the court should be allowed to carry out its work under the best circumstances and that the criminals in Hariri’s case and other assassinations should be punished.

 

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